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Anonymous
Asked: January 3, 20202020-01-03T22:36:47+00:00 2020-01-03T22:36:47+00:00In: Defense & Security

What are the immediate consequences of the killing of Qasem Soleimani?

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What are the immediate consequences of the killing of Qasem Soleimani?

Qasem Soleimani was killed on 3rd January 2020 by the US forces, through a missile strike fired from an American drone, near Baghdad International Airport.

He was on a major general rank in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), and the commander of the Quds Force from 1998 until his death. He was also killed with four members of the Popular Mobilization Forces (MPF).

It was a high-risk attack there may be more to it. The US may be trying to disrupt Iran, which seemed to be planning for something bigger.

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    9 Answers

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    1. PoliticsWatch Level 2
      2020-01-03T22:43:07+00:00Added an answer on January 3, 2020 at
      This answer was edited.

      The killing of Qasem Soleimani is considered the most serious event since 9/11.
      With US-Iran situations already at the boiling point. This seems the last stage before the start of a formal war. The situation needs to be de-escalated before it is too late. There must be long term consequences, but some of the short terms consequence are below:

      • The first casualty of the assassination of Iranian general Qasem Soleimani is diplomacy.
      • Some people fear world war 3, though it is a long shot. On Google, there was a significant spike in the number of people in the UK searching “World War 3”.
      • Iran would not want to provoke a full-scale conflict with the US at this stage.
      • The US is going to send more troops which will destabilise the region further.
      • Iran vowed for vengeance. It can strike back at US interests and assets across the Middle East region.
      • Oil prices will go up further in the international market.
      • Oil disruptions can happen by disrupting the shipping rout. The Strait of Hormuz can again become a flashpoint.
      • Donald Trump approved the general death so he should be benefited in the November election. He will present himself as a strong leader to show that he could go to any extent to protect the US interests. All US presidents need a war to win the election.
      • The most serious consequences will be for Iraq. It will turn again to a battleground.
      • The resurrection of ISIS has now become more imminent.
      • Iran has lost a leader who was capable and influential, but now without Soleimani, Iran will be weakened and less effective.
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    2. Shah Level 1
      2020-01-03T22:50:25+00:00Added an answer on January 3, 2020 at

      Iran is likely to retaliate through both traditional attacks and cyberattacks. It is time for a direct confrontation, but before that, there would be a chain of actions.

      More instability in the region means oil price hike, more jobs for the US security firms, more arms sales for the US and allies to KSA, UAE etc.

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    3. Grover Level 2
      2020-01-03T22:55:31+00:00Added an answer on January 3, 2020 at

      Well those who think Soleimani death could cause catastrophic consequences, they may be wrong.

      The US, Israel and other Arab nations had already tried to kill him. He had been rumoured killed several times. He was escaped from the 2012 bombing in Damascus which killed top aides of Syrian President Bashar Assad. In November 2015, it was rumoured that Soleimani was killed or seriously wounded while leading an attack around Syria’s Aleppo.

      I think there would be some consequences, but it would not make Iran that mad to take any irrational steps or direct confrontation with the US.

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    4. Chiara Rustici Level 1
      2020-01-05T08:21:15+00:00Added an answer on January 5, 2020 at

      Heightened cybersecurity alert in U.S. + countries perceived as U.S. allies

      See links to three key insights here:

      https://www.linkedin.com/posts/chiararustici_irans-retaliation-could-be-hacking-not-activity-6619284999411650560-mSxY

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    5. Ahsan Level 2
      2020-01-05T23:52:43+00:00Added an answer on January 5, 2020 at

      It is highly unpredictable what Iran would do in this situation. However, Iran can follow multiprong tactics to neutralise the US agenda through:

      • Avoiding a direct confrontation with the US for the time being
      • It can attack the US installation through proxies
      • Accelerate the nuclear program
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    6. Shah Level 1
      2020-01-06T00:10:36+00:00Added an answer on January 6, 2020 at

      Trump should be taken to the International Court of Justice (ICJ). He is the president of the US, not Iraq or Iran. He is turning to be a warmonger like Bush, Clinton and Obama.

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    7. Mohammad Ali Level 3
      2020-01-07T10:43:40+00:00Added an answer on January 7, 2020 at

      Trump properties may become a target for Qasem Soleimani revenge. Trump business can be affected as far as the threat remains real. His properties outside the US have now become more vulnerable.

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    8. Slide Share Level 4
      2020-01-07T10:53:26+00:00Added an answer on January 7, 2020 at

      The direct war would not be in the Iranian favour.

      The US versus Iran in case of war

       

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    9. Jacques Level 2
      2020-01-07T22:45:02+00:00Added an answer on January 7, 2020 at

      Stock prices of defence companies rose substantially, with the biggest jumps seen by Raytheon, Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin. They have a great interest in supplying arms to the Middle East.

      Lockheed Martin shares jumped due to US drones strikes

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